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Average customer lifetime

Churn and lifetime are reciprocals. At 4 per cent a month the average life is 25.0 months; at 2 per cent it is 50 months.

The Formula

Lifetime months = 1 / monthly churn

Churn and lifetime are reciprocals. At 4 per cent a month the average life is 25.0 months; at 2 per cent it is 50 months.

SymbolMeaning
Monthly churnProbability a customer leaves in a given month
Lifetime monthsAverage number of months a customer stays

What Each Symbol Means

Monthly churnrate per month

Probability a customer leaves in a given month

Here 0.04. Written as a decimal, so 4 per cent becomes 0.04.

Lifetime monthsmonths

Average number of months a customer stays

Here 1 / 0.04 = 25.0 months.

See It Worked With Real Numbers

A formula on its own does not tell you which number goes where. The how to calculate customer lifetime value page applies this equation to a concrete case, shows every intermediate step, and names the mistakes that produce a wrong answer even when the algebra is right.

Where This Formula Appears

This equation is the working core of How To Calculate Customer Lifetime Value, filed under Business. Every number the guide produces comes from substituting into this one line.